Köln vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
WEH
1 - 1
KOL
21%
21%
58%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
STP
3 - 5
KOL
18%
22%
60%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
KOL
3 - 1
ERZ
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BFC
1 - 9
KOL
4%
11%
85%
|
80 | 39 | 41 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
KOL
1 - 1
FCU
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
PAD
2 - 2
BOC
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SGF
2 - 2
PAD
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
PAD
2 - 1
ING
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
PAD
2 - 0
SSV
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 0
PAD
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |