Köln vs Paderborn analysis

Köln Paderborn
79 ELO 73
-6.5% Tilt 25.3%
88º General ELO ranking 190º
16º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
52.4%
Köln
24.4%
Draw
23.2%
Paderborn

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
Köln
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.2%
Win probability
Paderborn
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Köln
-2%
-1%
Paderborn

ELO progression

Köln
Paderborn
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2018
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
1 - 1
Köln
KOL
21%
21%
58%
81 66 15 0
02 Sep. 2018
STP
FC St Pauli
3 - 5
Köln
KOL
18%
22%
60%
80 70 10 +1
25 Aug. 2018
KOL
Köln
3 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
65%
22%
13%
80 66 14 0
19 Aug. 2018
BFC
BFC Dynamo
1 - 9
Köln
KOL
4%
11%
85%
80 39 41 0
13 Aug. 2018
KOL
Köln
1 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
49%
25%
26%
80 74 6 0

Matches

Paderborn
Paderborn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2018
PAD
Paderborn
2 - 2
VfL Bochum
BOC
49%
25%
27%
74 71 3 0
25 Aug. 2018
SGF
Greuther Fürth
2 - 2
Paderborn
PAD
33%
26%
42%
74 69 5 0
20 Aug. 2018
PAD
Paderborn
2 - 1
Ingolstadt 04
ING
49%
24%
27%
73 73 0 +1
10 Aug. 2018
PAD
Paderborn
2 - 0
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
49%
25%
26%
73 70 3 0
05 Aug. 2018
DAR
Darmstadt 98
1 - 0
Paderborn
PAD
42%
26%
33%
73 75 2 0