Köln vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
KOL
1 - 1
HOF
33%
24%
43%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
SLO
0 - 1
KOL
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
M05
5 - 0
KOL
33%
25%
43%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
KOL
3 - 2
AUG
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 0
KOL
44%
23%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 2
NIC
34%
27%
39%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
2 - 1
PAR
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 1
NAN
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
AUX
1 - 1
NIC
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 2
SLO
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |