Köln vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1973 |
HAN
1 - 0
KOL
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1973 |
KOL
2 - 0
EBT
81%
13%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1973 |
NIC
1 - 0
KOL
46%
23%
31%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1973 |
KOL
2 - 0
BRE
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1973 |
S04
2 - 2
KOL
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
SED
2 - 0
NIC
34%
29%
38%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
NÎM
0 - 0
NIC
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1973 |
NIC
1 - 0
KOL
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1973 |
NIC
1 - 1
ASN
68%
19%
14%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1973 |
STR
0 - 4
NIC
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |