Köln vs Neunkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
7.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1964 |
HAN
2 - 0
KOL
13%
20%
66%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1964 |
KOL
2 - 3
HER
92%
6%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1964 |
HER
4 - 2
KOL
25%
21%
54%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1964 |
KOL
2 - 0
VCF
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1964 |
KOL
2 - 1
STU
79%
12%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Neunkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1964 |
NEU
1 - 2
BVB
38%
22%
40%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1964 |
FCN
2 - 0
NEU
80%
12%
9%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | -1 |