Köln vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2002 |
RWA
0 - 0
KOL
33%
24%
43%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
KOL
3 - 2
EIN
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
WOL
1 - 3
KOL
8%
17%
75%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2002 |
AAA
0 - 0
KOL
22%
24%
54%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2002 |
KOL
4 - 3
MSV
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
LUB
1 - 2
SGF
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
SCF
2 - 1
LUB
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2002 |
LUB
2 - 3
MSV
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2002 |
LUB
6 - 0
STP
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
REU
1 - 3
LUB
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |