Köln vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
EIN
2 - 2
KOL
55%
21%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
KOL
6 - 2
MUN
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
MSV
1 - 2
KOL
35%
24%
40%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
FSV
0 - 3
KOL
14%
18%
68%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
KOL
3 - 1
HER
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1977 |
KAI
3 - 2
F95
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1977 |
STP
0 - 3
KAI
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1977 |
KAI
0 - 4
STU
59%
21%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
MSV
2 - 1
KAI
52%
23%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
BOC
0 - 1
KAI
43%
24%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |