Bundesliga Play-Offs Final
Global 5-2
Köln vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
KOL
1 - 0
S04
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
HER
0 - 0
KOL
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
KOL
1 - 4
SCF
32%
25%
43%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
AUG
2 - 3
KOL
38%
25%
38%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
KOL
2 - 1
RBL
12%
18%
71%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 3
DAR
41%
25%
35%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
KSC
3 - 2
HOL
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
HOL
3 - 2
SSV
62%
22%
17%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 0
HAN
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
HOL
4 - 0
STP
50%
24%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |