Köln vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
KOL
5 - 1
ARB
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ING
1 - 2
KOL
17%
23%
60%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
ERZ
0 - 1
KOL
14%
22%
64%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
KOL
3 - 1
SVS
71%
18%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
PAD
3 - 2
KOL
37%
24%
40%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
HER
1 - 3
HOL
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
HOL
5 - 1
ERZ
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
DAR
3 - 2
HOL
28%
26%
46%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
HOL
0 - 2
FCU
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BOC
1 - 3
HOL
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |