Köln vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EIN
1 - 1
KOL
57%
22%
22%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
KOL
1 - 1
RBL
15%
19%
66%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SCF
1 - 1
KOL
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
KOL
2 - 1
BOC
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
BYM
3 - 2
KOL
87%
9%
4%
|
79 | 95 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SGF
1 - 3
BYM
2%
7%
91%
|
74 | 95 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
HER
2 - 1
SGF
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SGF
0 - 2
WOL
18%
22%
61%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
M05
3 - 0
SGF
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SGF
1 - 1
ARB
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |