Köln vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2002 |
KOL
1 - 0
SCF
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2002 |
STP
2 - 3
KOL
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
KOL
1 - 1
REU
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
HOF
1 - 5
KOL
15%
21%
64%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
ROT
2 - 2
KOL
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
SGF
1 - 2
EIN
63%
23%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
SCF
1 - 1
SGF
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
SGF
2 - 1
STP
53%
24%
24%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
REU
2 - 4
SGF
45%
25%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
SGF
2 - 2
ROT
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |