Köln vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
6.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
BYM
4 - 1
KOL
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
TOT
3 - 0
KOL
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1974 |
KOL
0 - 1
MON
46%
23%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1974 |
OFC
1 - 2
KOL
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
KOL
1 - 2
TOT
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1974 |
KÖL
3 - 2
EIN
27%
26%
48%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1974 |
HAN
1 - 1
KÖL
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1974 |
KÖL
1 - 3
BRE
36%
28%
37%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1974 |
S04
6 - 1
KÖL
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1974 |
KÖL
2 - 1
WUP
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |