Köln vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
9.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
KOL
2 - 4
S04
67%
18%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
SAA
1 - 0
KOL
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1977 |
MON
2 - 5
KOL
52%
23%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
KOL
6 - 0
EBT
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
BYM
0 - 3
KOL
54%
21%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
EST
2 - 0
FCP
23%
28%
49%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
FCP
4 - 2
VIT
76%
14%
9%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCP
70%
18%
13%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1977 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPB
87%
9%
5%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |