Köln vs Nürnberg analysis

Köln Nürnberg
88 ELO 77
1.3% Tilt 21.2%
85º General ELO ranking 535º
16º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
65.2%
Köln
19.8%
Draw
15%
Nürnberg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
Köln
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15%
Win probability
Nürnberg
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Köln
-3%
+5%
Nürnberg

Points and table prediction

Köln
Their league position
Nürnberg
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
13º
48
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Köln
61
61
100%
Hamburger SV
59
59
100%
SV Elversberg
58
58
100%
Paderborn
55
55
100%
Magdeburg
53
53
100%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
53
53
100%
Kaiserslautern
53
53
100%
Karlsruher SC
52
52
100%
Hannover 96
51
51
100%
Nürnberg
10º
48
48
10º
100%
Hertha BSC
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Darmstadt 98
12º
42
42
12º
100%
Greuther Fürth
13º
39
39
13º
100%
Schalke 04
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Preußen Münster
15º
36
36
15º
100%
Eintracht Braunschweig
16º
35
35
16º
100%
SSV Ulm
17º
30
30
17º
100%
Jahn Regensburg
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Köln
Nürnberg
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Köln
Nürnberg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2024
SSV
Jahn Regensburg
0 - 1
Köln
KOL
15%
20%
65%
87 72 15 0
04 Dec. 2024
KOL
Köln
2 - 1
Hertha BSC
HER
50%
22%
28%
87 84 3 0
30 Nov. 2024
KOL
Köln
2 - 2
Hannover 96
HAN
57%
22%
21%
87 82 5 0
22 Nov. 2024
PRE
Preußen Münster
0 - 1
Köln
KOL
20%
21%
60%
87 76 11 0
14 Nov. 2024
KOL
Köln
1 - 1
Groningen
GRO
58%
21%
21%
87 81 6 0

Matches

Nürnberg
Nürnberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2024
ELV
SV Elversberg
2 - 1
Nürnberg
FCN
50%
24%
27%
77 80 3 0
01 Dec. 2024
FCN
Nürnberg
2 - 2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
F95
25%
23%
53%
77 86 9 0
22 Nov. 2024
PAD
Paderborn
3 - 2
Nürnberg
FCN
59%
22%
19%
77 84 7 0
08 Nov. 2024
FCN
Nürnberg
0 - 0
Kaiserslautern
KAI
34%
25%
41%
77 81 4 0
03 Nov. 2024
HSV
Hamburger SV
1 - 1
Nürnberg
FCN
64%
19%
16%
76 86 10 +1