Köln vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
KOL
1 - 1
BWB
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
KOL
3 - 1
WAL
64%
19%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
F95
0 - 4
KOL
36%
25%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
KOL
2 - 0
BVB
54%
22%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
S04
2 - 4
KOL
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
FCN
4 - 3
F95
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1986 |
KFC
3 - 2
FCN
75%
14%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1986 |
BVB
2 - 2
FCN
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
FCN
2 - 1
S04
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
STU
1 - 1
FCN
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |