Köln vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
18.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1969 |
AAA
2 - 1
KOL
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1969 |
KOL
2 - 1
BVB
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1969 |
KOL
3 - 3
BRE
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1969 |
EBT
2 - 1
KOL
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1969 |
KOL
4 - 1
HSV
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1969 |
FCN
2 - 2
BVB
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1969 |
BRE
3 - 3
FCN
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1969 |
FCN
2 - 0
BYM
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1969 |
BYM
2 - 0
FCN
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1969 |
STU
2 - 3
FCN
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |