Köln vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2007 |
KOL
0 - 1
AAA
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
STP
0 - 2
KOL
33%
26%
40%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
WER
4 - 2
KOL
23%
22%
56%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
KAI
2 - 2
KOL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
KOL
2 - 2
OFC
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
CZJ
0 - 1
STP
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
AAA
2 - 2
CZJ
69%
19%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
GER
0 - 3
CZJ
18%
21%
61%
|
64 | 26 | 38 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
AUG
1 - 2
CZJ
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CZJ
1 - 1
KAI
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |