Köln vs FC Augsburg analysis

Köln FC Augsburg
82 ELO 78
1.8% Tilt 25.1%
85º General ELO ranking 78º
16º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
55.8%
Köln
23.4%
Draw
20.7%
FC Augsburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
Köln
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.7%
Win probability
FC Augsburg
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Köln
-3%
+4%
FC Augsburg

Points and table prediction

Köln
Their league position
FC Augsburg
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
13º
11º
34
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bayern München
71
71
100%
B. Dortmund
71
71
100%
RB Leipzig
66
66
100%
Union Berlin
62
62
100%
SC Freiburg
59
59
100%
B. Leverkusen
50
50
0%
Eintracht Frankfurt
50
50
0%
Wolfsburg
49
49
100%
Mainz 05
46
46
100%
B. Mönchengladbach
10º
43
43
10º
100%
Köln
11º
42
42
11º
100%
Hoffenheim
12º
36
36
12º
0%
Werder Bremen
13º
36
36
13º
0%
VfL Bochum
14º
35
35
14º
100%
FC Augsburg
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Stuttgart
16º
33
33
16º
100%
Schalke 04
17º
31
31
17º
100%
Hertha BSC
18º
29
29
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Köln
FC Augsburg
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Köln
FC Augsburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2022
PAR
Partizan Belgrade
2 - 0
Köln
KOL
44%
23%
34%
83 83 0 0
09 Oct. 2022
MON
B. Mönchengladbach
5 - 2
Köln
KOL
46%
24%
30%
83 86 3 0
06 Oct. 2022
KOL
Köln
0 - 1
Partizan Belgrade
PAR
46%
25%
29%
83 83 0 0
01 Oct. 2022
KOL
Köln
3 - 2
B. Dortmund
BVB
19%
21%
61%
83 89 6 0
18 Sep. 2022
BOC
VfL Bochum
1 - 1
Köln
KOL
24%
23%
54%
83 76 7 0

Matches

FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Oct. 2022
AUG
FC Augsburg
1 - 1
Wolfsburg
WOL
35%
25%
40%
79 83 4 0
02 Oct. 2022
S04
Schalke 04
2 - 3
FC Augsburg
AUG
44%
25%
30%
78 77 1 +1
22 Sep. 2022
AUG
FC Augsburg
5 - 2
Austria Lustenau
SCA
58%
22%
20%
78 69 9 0
17 Sep. 2022
AUG
FC Augsburg
1 - 0
Bayern München
BYM
3%
8%
89%
77 94 17 +1
09 Sep. 2022
BRE
Werder Bremen
0 - 1
FC Augsburg
AUG
46%
26%
28%
77 79 2 0