Köln vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1997 |
MPT
1 - 3
KOL
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
BVB
2 - 1
KOL
71%
18%
12%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
KOL
4 - 0
LEV
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1997 |
HSV
0 - 4
KOL
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1997 |
BRE
3 - 2
KOL
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1997 |
FCA
0 - 1
MPT
60%
21%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
SDL
0 - 0
FCA
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1997 |
FCA
0 - 1
GCZ
34%
26%
41%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1997 |
BAS
3 - 2
FCA
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
FCA
1 - 2
STG
60%
22%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |