Köln vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1986 |
WAL
1 - 1
KOL
43%
25%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
KOL
1 - 3
F95
66%
19%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1986 |
KSV
3 - 3
KOL
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1986 |
FCN
3 - 0
KOL
39%
25%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1986 |
KOL
0 - 2
MON
46%
23%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1986 |
BOC
2 - 0
HSV
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1986 |
SAA
0 - 1
BOC
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1986 |
BVB
1 - 0
BOC
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1986 |
BOC
3 - 2
HAN
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
S04
4 - 2
BOC
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |