Köln vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
78.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.6%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
RBL
3 - 1
KOL
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
KOL
1 - 1
S04
24%
25%
52%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SCF
2 - 1
KOL
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
HSV
2 - 0
KOL
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
KOL
1 - 0
WOL
34%
27%
40%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
BYM
3 - 0
S04
79%
14%
7%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BYM
8 - 0
HSV
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
HER
1 - 1
BYM
9%
18%
73%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
BYM
5 - 1
ARS
69%
18%
13%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ING
0 - 2
BYM
5%
14%
81%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |