Köln vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
74.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
STP
3 - 0
KOL
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
KOL
3 - 0
BRE
18%
21%
62%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
KAI
1 - 1
KOL
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
KOL
1 - 2
MSV
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
S04
3 - 0
KOL
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 3
BYM
26%
22%
52%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
AAA
0 - 4
BYM
13%
19%
68%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
BYM
5 - 1
KAI
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
WOL
1 - 1
BYM
20%
21%
59%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
STU
3 - 6
BYM
27%
24%
50%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |