Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
STP
0 - 2
KOL
33%
26%
40%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
WER
4 - 2
KOL
23%
22%
56%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
KAI
2 - 2
KOL
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
KOL
2 - 2
OFC
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2007 |
MSV
1 - 3
KOL
50%
24%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
AAA
2 - 2
CZJ
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
NOR
0 - 3
AAA
9%
17%
74%
|
76 | 36 | 40 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
HSV
4 - 0
AAA
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
AAA
2 - 2
WOL
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
EIN
4 - 0
AAA
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |