Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1999 |
KSC
0 - 0
KOL
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1999 |
STU
4 - 0
KOL
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1999 |
KOL
3 - 1
HAN
68%
19%
14%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1999 |
CHE
1 - 3
KOL
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
KOL
6 - 1
FCN
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
AAA
3 - 1
STP
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1999 |
COT
4 - 1
AAA
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
KSC
0 - 0
AAA
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1999 |
AAA
1 - 2
HAN
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
CHE
2 - 2
AAA
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |