Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1968 |
MON
1 - 0
KOL
49%
24%
28%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1968 |
KOL
3 - 0
BVB
62%
19%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1968 |
MSV
3 - 2
KOL
45%
25%
29%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1968 |
KOL
2 - 1
EBT
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1968 |
KOL
5 - 1
EIN
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1968 |
AAA
4 - 4
MSV
43%
24%
32%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1968 |
AAA
2 - 0
FCN
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1968 |
KAI
1 - 0
AAA
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1968 |
AAA
1 - 1
BRE
39%
24%
37%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1968 |
STU
4 - 1
AAA
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |