Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
WHE
3 - 1
KOL
48%
23%
30%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
PRD
1 - 1
KOL
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
HAM
4 - 2
KOL
38%
24%
38%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
KOL
3 - 2
S04
76%
14%
10%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
KOL
3 - 1
BVB
68%
17%
15%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
AAA
2 - 0
ROT
67%
17%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
PRE
3 - 4
AAA
64%
18%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1956 |
BVB
5 - 1
AAA
78%
13%
9%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1956 |
AAA
2 - 0
SWE
83%
10%
7%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
S04
2 - 2
AAA
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |