Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
HAM
0 - 0
KOL
43%
25%
33%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
KOL
6 - 0
ROT
89%
7%
3%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
KOL
1 - 2
BVB
67%
17%
16%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
KOL
3 - 4
SKF
53%
20%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1950 |
S04
3 - 2
KOL
58%
21%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
AAA
2 - 4
S04
60%
20%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
ROT
0 - 0
AAA
52%
22%
26%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
AAA
6 - 3
PRE
64%
19%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
AAA
6 - 1
MON
29%
22%
50%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
ERK
2 - 1
AAA
68%
17%
15%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |