Köln vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
6.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
ERK
1 - 0
KOL
47%
23%
30%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
KOL
4 - 2
ARB
81%
11%
8%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
ROT
3 - 0
KOL
50%
22%
28%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 1949 |
KOL
1 - 0
S04
84%
10%
7%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
HAM
4 - 1
KOL
33%
24%
42%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
AAA
2 - 2
ERK
60%
19%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
HAM
0 - 0
AAA
64%
18%
18%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
AAA
2 - 2
ARB
59%
19%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
ROT
5 - 0
AAA
74%
15%
12%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
AAA
3 - 1
S04
64%
19%
17%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |