Köln vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
BVB
2 - 0
KOL
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
STU
0 - 2
KOL
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
KOL
2 - 2
LEV
18%
21%
61%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
HOF
5 - 0
KOL
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
KOL
3 - 1
SGF
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
FCU
1 - 2
FEY
31%
25%
44%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FCU
2 - 5
BYM
4%
9%
87%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
WAL
1 - 3
FCU
19%
21%
60%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
STU
1 - 1
FCU
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
FEY
3 - 1
FCU
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |