Köln vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
AUG
1 - 1
KOL
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2020 |
KOL
2 - 4
RBL
14%
19%
67%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2020 |
HOF
3 - 1
KOL
59%
21%
21%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2020 |
KOL
2 - 2
F95
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2020 |
KOL
2 - 2
M05
42%
25%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
FCU
1 - 1
S04
20%
23%
57%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2020 |
MON
4 - 1
FCU
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2020 |
FCU
1 - 1
M05
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2020 |
HER
4 - 0
FCU
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2020 |
FCU
0 - 2
BYM
3%
8%
90%
|
77 | 94 | 17 | 0 |