Köln vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
BOC
0 - 2
KOL
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
KOL
5 - 3
M05
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
BRE
0 - 1
KOL
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
KOL
1 - 1
WAT
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
WUP
2 - 2
KOL
6%
13%
82%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
FCU
1 - 0
ERZ
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
QPR
3 - 0
FCU
21%
20%
59%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
FCU
2 - 1
NOR
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 3
FCU
5%
10%
85%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
FCU
3 - 1
CHE
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |