1º Dezembro vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
FAZ
0 - 2
1DE
13%
17%
70%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ALM
3 - 2
1DE
15%
18%
67%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
1DE
0 - 1
LGC
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
FAB
0 - 0
1DE
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
1DE
0 - 0
ALV
17%
24%
59%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 0
UDL
41%
26%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CRA
0 - 4
UDL
21%
20%
58%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BEN
1 - 0
UDL
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
UDL
0 - 0
PRA
22%
24%
55%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
UDL
1 - 1
CAL
59%
24%
18%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |