1º Dezembro vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
37.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
7º
2º
26
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
USA
1 - 0
1DE
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
1DE
2 - 0
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 3
1DE
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
1DE
3 - 0
LUS
36%
27%
37%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 1
1DE
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SCP
4 - 1
CAL
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 0
SCP
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 0
SCP
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 3
USA
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
SCP
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |