1º Dezembro vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
44.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
3º
8º
6º
26
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
AMA
1 - 1
1DE
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
BEL
2 - 0
1DE
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
1DE
1 - 0
FAF
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
1DE
0 - 1
ATL
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 0
1DE
53%
25%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCP
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SCP
2 - 1
ATL
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
LUS
2 - 1
SCP
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
AMA
0 - 1
SCP
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SCP
0 - 0
FAF
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |