1º Dezembro vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
50.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PER
2 - 2
1DE
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
1DE
0 - 1
ALV
12%
21%
67%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
1DE
0 - 2
USA
20%
22%
59%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
LOU
1 - 1
1DE
14%
20%
67%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 1
1DE
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 2
USA
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
LOU
3 - 1
CAL
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
LOU
0 - 1
CAL
13%
22%
65%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
ALM
77%
15%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 1
CAL
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |