1º de Maio vs Decisão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
57.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1º de Maio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VCR
9 - 0
MAI
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
MAI
1 - 2
PER
20%
20%
60%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
BEL
5 - 0
MAI
57%
23%
21%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAI
1 - 1
PET
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SED
0 - 0
MAI
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Decisão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SED
3 - 0
SSS
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
SED
1 - 1
FEC
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
CEN
3 - 2
SED
54%
23%
22%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PES
1 - 1
SED
27%
24%
50%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SED
0 - 0
MAI
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |