Caledonian Braves vs Fraserburgh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
77%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caledonian Braves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
CBF
1 - 2
BON
44%
21%
34%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
CBF
4 - 0
GRE
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
THE
1 - 1
CBF
26%
21%
53%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
HOM
1 - 1
CBF
65%
20%
16%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
CBF
0 - 1
CIV
31%
24%
46%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
WIC
0 - 3
FRA
3%
10%
87%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CLA
2 - 6
FRA
5%
12%
83%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FRA
3 - 2
DEV
91%
7%
2%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 3
BUC
38%
23%
38%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
INV
0 - 7
FRA
9%
15%
76%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |