Navegantes Esporte vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
72%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GAM
4 - 1
JAR
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 2
NME
14%
22%
64%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
JAR
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 1
APA
12%
21%
67%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
GOI
0 - 1
JAR
77%
16%
7%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +1 |