Zurbarán vs Orellana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurbarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CAS
2 - 1
ZUR
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ZUR
2 - 1
TAL
52%
23%
25%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ZUR
1 - 1
MAL
43%
24%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
GIM
3 - 0
ZUR
61%
21%
18%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ZUR
2 - 0
MOR
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ORE
0 - 6
CAC
15%
21%
64%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
ORE
79%
14%
7%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
CHI
3 - 0
ORE
58%
22%
21%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
ORE
1 - 0
BRO
59%
21%
20%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ARR
4 - 0
ORE
80%
13%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | -1 |