Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 4-1
Zorya Luhansk vs Budućnost analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
VOR
0 - 1
ZOR
36%
28%
37%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
BUD
1 - 3
ZOR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
ZOR
3 - 1
ILL
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
PAK
1 - 1
ZOR
24%
24%
51%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
SLA
2 - 1
ZOR
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
BUD
1 - 3
ZOR
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
BUD
4 - 1
TRA
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
TRA
0 - 2
BUD
33%
26%
42%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
LOV
0 - 4
BUD
20%
26%
54%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
BUD
0 - 2
SUT
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |