Zenit Izhevsk vs Tobol Kurgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zenit Izhevsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
KAM
5 - 0
ZEN
76%
15%
8%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
NOS
1 - 0
ZEN
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
ZEN
3 - 0
SST
15%
26%
59%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | +3 |
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
GAZ
2 - 1
ZEN
69%
21%
10%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
ZEN
2 - 1
MMM
57%
25%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kurgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
TOB
4 - 1
MMM
41%
25%
34%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2003 |
TOB
1 - 1
SST
15%
23%
61%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2003 |
LNN
2 - 0
TOB
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2003 |
DIN
0 - 0
TOB
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
TOB
1 - 2
ZEN
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |