Zagorec vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
70.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zagorec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
BJE
4 - 0
ZAG
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
ZAD
4 - 0
ZAG
79%
14%
6%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2000 |
MOS
4 - 0
ZAG
65%
21%
15%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
ZAG
1 - 3
POM
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
VRB
6 - 1
ZAG
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
HNS
3 - 0
IMO
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
NKC
3 - 1
HNS
28%
26%
47%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
HNS
0 - 1
SEG
72%
19%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
HDR
0 - 3
HNS
33%
26%
40%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
HNS
6 - 3
ZAD
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |