Zadar vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
ZAG
3 - 1
ZAD
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ZAD
1 - 1
NKC
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
INT
2 - 2
ZAD
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ZAD
3 - 1
HNK
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
OSI
1 - 0
ZAD
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
HNK
2 - 1
HNS
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
RIJ
2 - 0
HNK
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
HNK
2 - 1
NKV
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ZAD
3 - 1
HNK
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
HNK
3 - 0
NKC
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |