Zadar vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
KIV
1 - 1
ZAD
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2002 |
ZAD
0 - 0
HNS
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
RIJ
3 - 1
ZAD
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
ZAD
3 - 2
HNS
41%
27%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
HNK
1 - 1
ZAD
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
HNK
1 - 1
POM
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
SLA
2 - 3
HNK
61%
22%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
HNK
1 - 1
DZG
26%
26%
49%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
OSI
0 - 0
HNK
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
HNK
1 - 1
ZAD
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |