Zacatepec vs Atl. San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
29.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 3
CAÑ
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAÑ
0 - 1
MER
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 2
CAÑ
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
IRA
1 - 0
CAÑ
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
CAÑ
2 - 1
ALE
31%
24%
45%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
AUR
4 - 0
ZAC
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 0
AUR
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
AUR
3 - 5
ZAC
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TEP
1 - 2
AUR
48%
28%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
ZAC
0 - 1
AUR
44%
25%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |