CA Zacatepec vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
LEO
0 - 0
ZAC
80%
14%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
ZAC
0 - 2
DUR
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
DOR
3 - 0
ZAC
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
ZAC
1 - 2
ACA
35%
25%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
LEO
2 - 2
ZAC
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2005 |
DUR
1 - 0
QRO
30%
26%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
GUE
2 - 1
DUR
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
DUR
2 - 2
GUE
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
DUR
2 - 1
CAO
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
TOR
1 - 0
DUR
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |