CA Zacatepec vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
DOR
3 - 0
ZAC
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
ZAC
1 - 2
ACA
35%
25%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
LEO
2 - 2
ZAC
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
ZAC
1 - 1
ORI
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
COB
5 - 1
ZAC
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
DUR
1 - 0
JAG
62%
21%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
UDG
0 - 1
DUR
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
DUR
1 - 1
CAÑ
27%
25%
49%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
ALT
1 - 0
DUR
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
DUR
3 - 2
UAT
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |