Yokohama F. Marinos vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yokohama F. Marinos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
URA
1 - 0
YFM
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
YFM
1 - 0
URA
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
TOK
0 - 0
YFM
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
YFM
1 - 2
ALB
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
GAM
0 - 2
YFM
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
CER
1 - 2
THE
60%
20%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |