Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 2-3
Yeni Malatyaspor vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
44.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Yeni Malatyaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
PAR
3 - 1
YEN
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 1
YEN
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
YEN
2 - 2
OLI
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
YEN
1 - 0
ČEL
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
YEN
1 - 2
BUR
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
NAP
2 - 2
PAR
21%
25%
54%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
PAR
3 - 1
YEN
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
PAR
4 - 0
MAV
82%
13%
4%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
PAR
3 - 0
CON
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
CON
0 - 1
PAR
28%
26%
47%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |