Xinabajul vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
29%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
1º
10º
11º
25
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Xinabajul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
ANT
6 - 0
XIN
52%
23%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2025 |
TOR
1 - 0
XIN
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
XIN
0 - 2
MUN
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
CHI
7 - 2
XIN
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
XIN
2 - 1
ACH
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
MIX
2 - 1
TOR
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MUN
1 - 1
MIX
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
MIX
0 - 0
CHI
43%
30%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ACH
0 - 0
MIX
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
COB
2 - 0
MIX
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |