Manitoba vs St. Louis Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
66.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manitoba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
WSA
4 - 1
SPR
10%
16%
74%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
WSA
0 - 2
CFC
7%
13%
80%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
THU
4 - 1
WSA
93%
6%
2%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
THU
5 - 0
WSA
93%
6%
2%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
WSA
1 - 3
DES
8%
14%
78%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
St. Louis Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
THU
4 - 0
STL
76%
15%
9%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
DES
3 - 1
STL
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
STL
0 - 2
THU
21%
23%
56%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -2 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
STL
3 - 0
CIN
55%
20%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
SPR
0 - 1
STL
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |